Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000150 0.000167 0.000184 0.000204 0.000227 0.000251 0.000280
2025-07-27 0.000120 0.000143 0.000170 0.000204 0.000246 0.000295 0.000359
2025-08-03 0.000103 0.000130 0.000163 0.000208 0.000266 0.000340 0.000442
2025-08-10 0.000089 0.000117 0.000154 0.000205 0.000275 0.000370 0.000510
2025-08-17 0.000079 0.000107 0.000146 0.000203 0.000285 0.000401 0.000579
2025-08-24 0.000070 0.000099 0.000139 0.000199 0.000290 0.000425 0.000642
2025-08-31 0.000062 0.000090 0.000130 0.000193 0.000291 0.000440 0.000693
2025-09-07 0.000057 0.000085 0.000126 0.000193 0.000301 0.000471 0.000771
2025-09-14 0.000054 0.000082 0.000125 0.000196 0.000315 0.000510 0.000867
2025-09-21 0.000049 0.000077 0.000119 0.000192 0.000318 0.000530 0.000932
2025-09-28 0.000044 0.000071 0.000112 0.000185 0.000313 0.000537 0.000975
2025-10-05 0.000042 0.000068 0.000111 0.000188 0.000326 0.000576 0.001080
2025-10-12 0.000040 0.000066 0.000110 0.000191 0.000342 0.000623 0.001214
2025-10-19 0.000037 0.000063 0.000107 0.000190 0.000349 0.000655 0.001322
2025-10-26 0.000036 0.000061 0.000106 0.000193 0.000364 0.000705 0.001476
2025-11-02 0.000033 0.000058 0.000102 0.000190 0.000368 0.000733 0.001585
2025-11-09 0.000031 0.000055 0.000099 0.000188 0.000374 0.000765 0.001710
2025-11-16 0.000029 0.000052 0.000095 0.000185 0.000376 0.000788 0.001817
2025-11-23 0.000027 0.000049 0.000091 0.000179 0.000371 0.000797 0.001892
2025-11-30 0.000025 0.000047 0.000089 0.000179 0.000380 0.000838 0.002052
2025-12-07 0.000024 0.000046 0.000089 0.000182 0.000395 0.000894 0.002263
2025-12-14 0.000023 0.000044 0.000085 0.000179 0.000396 0.000916 0.002385
2025-12-21 0.000021 0.000041 0.000081 0.000172 0.000388 0.000915 0.002445